{"id":6461,"date":"2018-02-26T13:28:40","date_gmt":"2018-02-26T18:28:40","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/idavox.com\/?p=6461"},"modified":"2018-02-26T13:34:56","modified_gmt":"2018-02-26T18:34:56","slug":"the-envelope-please-your-guide-to-the-oscars-who-will-win-who-deserves-to-win-who-was-snubbed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/idavox.com\/index.php\/2018\/02\/26\/the-envelope-please-your-guide-to-the-oscars-who-will-win-who-deserves-to-win-who-was-snubbed\/","title":{"rendered":"The Envelope Please: Your Guide to the Oscars, Who Will Win, Who Deserves to Win, Who Was Snubbed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Next Sunday, we will know who will walk away with the Academy Award in their respective categories, but in the meantime, Kam Williams has a bloody good barometer!<\/strong><!--more--><\/p>\n<p><strong>Kam Williams<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>If you&#8217;re planning on entering an Oscar pool at the office or online, you might want to check out my pix first. After all, given my immersion in movies, movie biz and movie buzz, this is the one time each year when my otherwise useless font of film trivia knowledge can actually prove profitable to readers.<\/p>\n<p>Fair warning, my past performance, including a perfect score in 2014, is no guarantee of future results. That disclaimer out of the way, look for Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri to win thrice Sunday night, for Best Picture, Lead Actress and Supporting Actor.<\/p>\n<p>But Shape of Water&#8217;s Guillermo del Toro is still the favorite for Best Director, since he won&#8217;t have to compete with Three Billboards&#8217; Martin McDonagh who wasn&#8217;t even nominated in the category. Despite landing 13 nominations, Shape is likely to take home only a couple of additional trophies.<\/p>\n<p>And don&#8217;t waste a vote on perennial nominee Meryl Streep. Frances McDormand&#8217;s a shoo-in.<\/p>\n<p>As far as snubs, this year it was less a case of actors being overlooked by Oscar than their being torpedoed by the #MeToo movement. For instance, after winning a Golden Globe for The Disaster Artist, James Franco wasn&#8217;t even nominated for an Oscar when several devastating sexual abuse allegations were leveled at him.<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, Baby Driver, this critic&#8217;s favorite film of the year, was only nominated in three technical categories after Kevin Spacey was accused of sexual harassment. Spacey&#8217;s fall from grace ostensibly affected not only his own prospects this awards season, but also those of his co-stars Ansel Elgort and Jamie Foxx, as well as the picture&#8217;s writer\/director Edgar Wright.<\/p>\n<p>The 90th Academy Awards, set to air on March 4th on ABC, and the show will be hosted by Jimmy Kimmel.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Picture<\/strong><br \/>\nWill Win: <em>Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri<\/em><br \/>\nDeserves to Win: <em>Lady Bird<\/em><br \/>\nOverlooked: <em>Baby Driver, Wind River<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Director<\/strong><br \/>\nWill Win: Guillermo del Toro (<em>The Shape of Water<\/em>)<br \/>\nDeserves to Win: Greta Gerwig (<em>Lady Bird<\/em>)<br \/>\nOverlooked: Edgar Wright <em>(Baby Driver<\/em>), Martin McDonagh (<em>Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Actor<\/strong><br \/>\nWill Win: Gary Oldman (<em>Darkest Hour<\/em>)<br \/>\nDeserves to Win: Timothee Chalamet (<em>Call Me by Your Name<\/em>)<br \/>\nOverlooked: James Franco (<em>The Disaster Artist<\/em>), Ansel Elgort (<em>Baby Driver<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Actress<\/strong><br \/>\nWill Win: Frances McDormand (<em>Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri<\/em>)<br \/>\nDeserves to Win: Saoirse Ronan (<em>Lady Bird<\/em>)<br \/>\nOverlooked: Sally Hawkins (<em>Maudie<\/em>), Gal Gadot (<em>Wonder Woman<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Supporting Actor<\/strong><br \/>\nWill Win: Sam Rockwell (<em>Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri<\/em>)<br \/>\nDeserves to Win: Willem Dafoe (<em>The Florida Project<\/em>)<br \/>\nOverlooked: Armie Hammer (<em>Call Me by Your Name<\/em>), Michael Stuhlbarg (<em>Call Me by Your Name<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Supporting Actress<\/strong><br \/>\nWill Win: Allison Janney (<em>I, Tonya<\/em>)<br \/>\nDeserves to Win: Laurie Metcalf (<em>Lady Bird<\/em>)<br \/>\nOverlooked: Tiffany Haddish (<em>Girls Trip<\/em>), Elizabeth Olsen (<em>Wind River<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Original Screenplay<\/strong><br \/>\nWill Win: Jordan Peele (<em>Get Out<\/em>)<br \/>\nDeserves to Win: Greta Gerwig (<em>Lady Bird<\/em>)<br \/>\nOverlooked: Edgar Wright (<em>Baby Driver<\/em>), Taylor Sheridan (<em>Wind River<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Adapted Screenplay<\/strong><br \/>\nWill Win: James Ivory (<em>Call Me by Your Name<\/em>)<br \/>\nDeserves to Win: Dee Rees (<em>Mudbound<\/em>)<br \/>\nOverlooked: Allan Heinberg and Zack Snyder (<em>Wonder Woman<\/em>)<br \/>\n<strong><br \/>\nPredictions for the Balance of the Categories<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>Animated Feature:<\/strong> <em>Coco<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Foreign Language Film:<\/strong> <em>A Fantastic Woman<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Documentary Feature:<\/strong> <em>Faces Places<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Cinematography:<\/strong> <em>Blade Runner 2049<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Costume Design:<\/strong> <em>Phantom Thread<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Production Design:<\/strong> <em>The Shape of Water<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Film Editing:<\/strong> <em>Dunkirk<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Makeup and Hairstyling:<\/strong> <em>Darkest Hour<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Original Score:<\/strong> <em>The Shape of Water<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Best Song:<\/strong> &#8220;Remember Me&#8221; (<em>Coco<\/em>)<\/p>\n<p><strong>Sound Editing:<\/strong><em> Dunkirk<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Sound Mixing:<\/strong> <em>Dunkirk<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Visual Effects:<\/strong> <em>War for the Planet of the Apes<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Animated Short:<\/strong> <em>Dear Basketball<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Documentary Short:<\/strong> <em>Edith + Eddie<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Live Action Short:<\/strong> <em>DeKalb Elementary<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Next Sunday, we will know who will walk away with the Academy Award in their&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2546,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"nf_dc_page":"","_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[13,16],"tags":[863,538,862],"class_list":["post-6461","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-arts-culture","category-movies","tag-academy-awards","tag-kam-williams","tag-oscars"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.5 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The Envelope Please: Your Guide to the Oscars, Who Will Win, Who Deserves to Win, Who Was Snubbed 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